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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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and it's relatively small compare compared to the economy. it's dominated by the financials and everybody doesn't trust the bank's numbers. so if they don't trust the bank's numbers, it's hard for it to actually go up. >> we ask that question a lot. do you trust the banks? thank you for joining us. >> thank you for having me. >> for me the most interesting trade is the stock that's going sideways for the last couple years. it's china mobile. i think even if you see a slowdown there, the growth in the hand set market will be explosi explosive. so for me, china mobile. >> what's your trade? >> they are trying to promote through the new congress some of the domestic spending. starbucks has 570 outlets. i look at the growth, i look at the sales growth they have in that china market. i like at starbucks as nothing to the upside. that wins when you talk about china. >> they had a starbucks in the forbidden city. >> is that a nice club in las vegas? >> it sounds like a fun place. >> i like young brands. i'm on the china mobile train. i like bhp. but
and it's relatively small compare compared to the economy. it's dominated by the financials and everybody doesn't trust the bank's numbers. so if they don't trust the bank's numbers, it's hard for it to actually go up. >> we ask that question a lot. do you trust the banks? thank you for joining us. >> thank you for having me. >> for me the most interesting trade is the stock that's going sideways for the last couple years. it's china mobile. i think even if you see a slowdown...
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135
Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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economy before today's data. but it does make you worry some when you see those cap ex numbers, the shipments and the core capital goods orders and it is revisions to them. but i do think that that is more sentiment based and that as we come through this next couple of months, that you'll start to see a more -- people more apt to look at the dollar as the right place to be. >> mike murphy, go ahead. >> fundamentally, i'm agreeing with you on a lot of the points. but the old saying, don't fight the fed, you look at what's going on, there's talk that china is going to add additional stimulus tonight. but looking at this trade, if stimulus keeps coming into the market, gold is up almost 1.5% today. across the board, commodities are up. isn't it hard to be on the other side of bernanke, the ecb and china all at once? >> we tend to look at commodities as being a supply demand play. and when we look at demand, supply is adequate in most of these commodities. when we look at demand coming mostly from china, in a lot of
economy before today's data. but it does make you worry some when you see those cap ex numbers, the shipments and the core capital goods orders and it is revisions to them. but i do think that that is more sentiment based and that as we come through this next couple of months, that you'll start to see a more -- people more apt to look at the dollar as the right place to be. >> mike murphy, go ahead. >> fundamentally, i'm agreeing with you on a lot of the points. but the old saying,...
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Oct 1, 2012
10/12
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, alleged stronger economy. everything is in quotes. >> that's right. to me that is why '09 is an analogy for europe because the financial crisis really plateaued in the u.s. in the spring of '09 and the economic data didn't show improvement until the late '09. >> good to have you as always on the program. let's take a look at the markets as we head to break. have you the dow up 150 points, perhaps offer the best levels and nasdaq way off the highs as well and a rare one at that given what mondays have usually meant to the markets over the last several months. up next, live from the value investing congress, the fourth quarter playbook continues live as i fannish from the heart of new york city. will financialing out shine and which pang stocks should you bet on and how big of a threat is china to u.s. stocks? halftime reports comes back. with the fidelity stock screener, you can try strategies from independent experts and see what criteria they use. such as a 5% yield on dividend-paying stocks. then you can cus
, alleged stronger economy. everything is in quotes. >> that's right. to me that is why '09 is an analogy for europe because the financial crisis really plateaued in the u.s. in the spring of '09 and the economic data didn't show improvement until the late '09. >> good to have you as always on the program. let's take a look at the markets as we head to break. have you the dow up 150 points, perhaps offer the best levels and nasdaq way off the highs as well and a rare one at that...
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Oct 4, 2012
10/12
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any other economy and that will show up at earnings. >> ed, how much of today, if any, do you think is due to the perception that governor romney may have improved his standing at the first debate? >> i don't know. there's a lot of controversy about that. i've seen people argue that the rally we've had in the past couple of months reflects that obama might win, figuring that the market, you know, prefers dealing with somebody we know rather than somebody we don't know. i mean there's a lot of interpretations here, and obviously there are a lot of political color to all of this. look, i think that, you know, romney won last night. it isn't just that he won. obama lost with his performance. it brings him back as a credible candidate and he might win all of a sudden, whereas right before the elections everybody sort of wrote him off. so we have to look alt his policy proposals, and obama attacked romney for not having any, but actually on the fiscal side, he's getting pretty specific about favoring a cap on tax loopholes, and i think that's a great idea. i think it would, in fact, gene
any other economy and that will show up at earnings. >> ed, how much of today, if any, do you think is due to the perception that governor romney may have improved his standing at the first debate? >> i don't know. there's a lot of controversy about that. i've seen people argue that the rally we've had in the past couple of months reflects that obama might win, figuring that the market, you know, prefers dealing with somebody we know rather than somebody we don't know. i mean...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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economy. we have better data points coming out. we have also very low expectations in terms of profits and earnings headed into earnings. remember last quarter the same thing happened and the markets rallied. i am not sure you will get this massive dip especially when the environment is better. >> that's what makes the markets, ladies and gentlemen. >> not cle shea at all, courtney reagan with two tech stocks on the move. >> thank you very much, michelle. much needed good news for research in motion, a name we talk about a lot. they're getting a lift after estimates are raised at goldman sachs citing the unexpected increase in the smartphone subscriber pace. that was announced at the blackberry jam conference yesterday. apple is down 5% since the release of the iphone 5, a surprise to many, michelle. >> thank you, courtney. still ahead, where should you be investing in earnings season derails the rally and homes over 40%. we will show you great data points we found. stay tuned. sometimes investing opportunities are hard to spot. yo
economy. we have better data points coming out. we have also very low expectations in terms of profits and earnings headed into earnings. remember last quarter the same thing happened and the markets rallied. i am not sure you will get this massive dip especially when the environment is better. >> that's what makes the markets, ladies and gentlemen. >> not cle shea at all, courtney reagan with two tech stocks on the move. >> thank you very much, michelle. much needed good news...
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Oct 3, 2012
10/12
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what's happening is the economy is delevering, which is leading to slow growth. i think one of the key macro considerations -- we tend to think of macro in risk management terms, we're an equity long/short fund, stock pickers -- but the reality of is this environment is that you have to have a view and you have to manage risk and so one of the key considerations is when does velocity pick up, how does it pick up, what does that mean in terms of equity prices, what does it mean in terms of inflation. >> what do you think. >> what does it mean in terms of bond prices? >> we've just looked at that chart. it should pick up. there's good inflation and bad, in a way. >> that's right. and good inflation, ie increases in home prices, increases in wages, those would be positive things. positive investments as long as they were at a pace that made sense. bad inflation like oil prices, commodity prices, that would be a tough thing for the market. >> does this worry you? >> well, it worries me in the sense that -- i mean i think about this as all this liquidity that's if the
what's happening is the economy is delevering, which is leading to slow growth. i think one of the key macro considerations -- we tend to think of macro in risk management terms, we're an equity long/short fund, stock pickers -- but the reality of is this environment is that you have to have a view and you have to manage risk and so one of the key considerations is when does velocity pick up, how does it pick up, what does that mean in terms of equity prices, what does it mean in terms of...